40 seats in the Republican House went to Democratic candidates after Kavanaugh’s confirmation in 2018.
In 27 of those races, GOP candidates led in polls ahead of Kavanaugh’s controversial hearings.
The response to his confirmation may show how the Roe v. Wade withdrawal could affect this year’s midterms.
As political analysts explore the potential impact of Roe v. Wade is destroyed on this year’s midterm elections, some suggest data from 2018 could reveal possible trends.
In 2018 followed the controversial confirmation hearings of Brett Kavanaugh, Supreme Court Justice – who Christine Ford accused of sexual assault – 40 seats in the US House of Representatives turned around to Democratic candidates. GOP candidates led in polls held ahead of the hearings and lost in 27 of those races in November, indicating increased mobilization among partisan voters after the hearings.
“This is when the midterms were decided. Everything that preceded them was, for many Americans, a gradual erosion of political and societal norms. But nevertheless, it was gradual. Often politically imperceptible. An electoral revolution,” wrote BJ Rudell, a politician strategist, in an opinion article for: The hill†
He continued: “But Republicans who gave an accused sexual predator a lifelong appointment to the nation’s highest court was the lightning rod that struck the political lives of 27 House Republicans who had had a good shot at winning in November and the keep the room in the hands of the GOP.”
The Supreme Court’s decision on Friday to repeal of federal abortion protections instituted by Roe v. Wade could trigger a similar surge in voter activity during this year’s midterm elections. Historically, first-term presidents were often lose congress seats in the first midterms, but recently polls point to a narrowing gap when it comes to whether voters want Republican or Democratic candidates in Congress.
While Democratic candidates have been launched en masse mobilization and fundraising efforts in the days since the ruling, it is unclear whether Democratic leaders’ plans for a vote turnout blitz will lead to election results.
“To make sure that November’s Democrats win — and maybe become big — they already have everything they need: they just need to turn the 2022 midterm elections into a referendum for the majority of citizens who will vote 19th-century. Recognizing century-old immoral standards has no place in the 21st century. century America,” Rudell wrote The hill†
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